Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.262460 0.288057 0.314170 0.342749 0.373095 0.404307 0.438784
2024-12-15 0.236981 0.273772 0.312596 0.356443 0.404413 0.455133 0.512646
2024-12-22 0.212915 0.257456 0.305873 0.362044 0.425048 0.493182 0.572073
2024-12-29 0.196777 0.247814 0.304758 0.372366 0.449807 0.535125 0.635606
2025-01-05 0.179518 0.235096 0.298666 0.375781 0.465824 0.566702 0.687311
2025-01-12 0.163930 0.222882 0.291914 0.377347 0.478865 0.594328 0.734237
2025-01-19 0.149094 0.210310 0.283648 0.376157 0.487908 0.616797 0.774899
2025-01-26 0.138286 0.201823 0.279548 0.379287 0.501543 0.644284 0.821249
2025-02-02 0.131678 0.198087 0.280835 0.388610 0.522379 0.680189 0.877588
2025-02-09 0.122233 0.189954 0.276005 0.389845 0.532982 0.703646 0.919071
2025-02-16 0.115886 0.185462 0.275431 0.396104 0.549556 0.734209 0.969112
2025-02-23 0.111597 0.183427 0.277787 0.405910 0.570462 0.770067 1.025708
2025-03-02 0.103591 0.175956 0.272866 0.406405 0.579959 0.792485 1.066841
2025-03-09 0.096939 0.169964 0.269575 0.408757 0.591654 0.817592 1.111388
2025-03-16 0.089558 0.162424 0.263766 0.407430 0.598376 0.836376 1.148143
2025-03-23 0.085509 0.159539 0.264173 0.414273 0.615622 0.868400 1.201482
2025-03-30 0.079963 0.154013 0.260570 0.415431 0.625263 0.890745 1.242787
2025-04-06 0.074567 0.148355 0.256473 0.415656 0.633491 0.911204 1.281739
2025-04-13 0.068916 0.141904 0.250901 0.413547 0.638391 0.927266 1.315102
2025-04-20 0.065055 0.138092 0.248990 0.416405 0.649866 0.951793 1.359293
2025-04-27 0.063253 0.137565 0.251895 0.426070 0.670604 0.988465 1.419214
2025-05-04 0.059399 0.133313 0.248972 0.427222 0.679621 1.009808 1.459533
2025-05-11 0.057119 0.131621 0.249848 0.433797 0.696084 1.040987 1.512678